Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +4 (98-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 39 | 10-19 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 10 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 38 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Ben McLemore * | 34 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ray McCallum | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Evans | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Omri Casspi | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 37 | 7-20 | 2-12 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 6-19 | 2-9 | 8-11 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 18 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Will Barton | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Steve Blake | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Victor Claver | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter