Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +9 (102-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Turner * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 25 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 22 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 31 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 26 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 25 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Barnes * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 35 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 33 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 23 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 16 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Glen Davis | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter