Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +11 (93-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 38 | 4-15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 29 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-12 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 26 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 18 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Caron Butler | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 30 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 30 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Mike Scott | 20 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Pero Antic | 10 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter