Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +35 (111-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nerlens Noel * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Michael Carter-Williams * | 29 | 2-13 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 25 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| KJ McDaniels * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Henry Sims * | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 24 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Hollis Thompson | 22 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Larry Drew II | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Furkan Aldemir | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| JaKarr Sampson | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Gortat * | 28 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| John Wall * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 19 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 19 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Andre Miller | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Martell Webster | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter