Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +2 (102-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Hill * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| David West * | 30 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| CJ Miles | 35 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Donald Sloan | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Luis Scola | 17 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Damjan Rudez | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan * | 44 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-15 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 31 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 40 | 11-27 | 0-2 | 9-13 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 25 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 33 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Farmar | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Glen Davis | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chris Douglas-Roberts | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter