Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +7 (104-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 33 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 6 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 32 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 22 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Johnny O'Bryant III | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nate Wolters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 35 | 10-19 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Thomas Robinson * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-15 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Steve Blake | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chris Kaman | 17 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -3 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Allen Crabbe | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter