Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -18 (87-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 38 | 9-13 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 27 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Enes Freedom * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Alec Burks * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 28 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Dante Exum | 24 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Rudy Gobert | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Joe Ingles | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rodney Hood | 8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 12-19 | 2-3 | 16-21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 42 | 24 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Justin Hamilton * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers | 32 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Shawne Williams | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| James Ennis III | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Shabazz Napier | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter