Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +17 (109-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Victor Oladipo * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 31 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Maurice Harkless | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 23 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 30 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Phil Pressey | 19 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Evan Turner | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter