Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -5 (106-111). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Bledsoe * | 39 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 37 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 23 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Alex Len * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 28 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 6-10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Green | 21 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 38 | 9-20 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 35 | 13-22 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Cody Zeller * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Gary Neal | 26 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Marvin Williams | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter