Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -12 (92-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 35 | 12-25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 5 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 31 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 9-12 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 28 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Andre Roberson * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 17 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 15 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Nick Collison | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 35 | 8-20 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ben McLemore * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 22 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Carl Landry | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nik Stauskas | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter