Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks -20 (87-107). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 23 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Devin Harris | 17 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jae Crowder | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Greg Smith | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 37 | 11-23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 5-17 | 0-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Quincy Acy * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shane Larkin | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jason Smith | 21 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Travis Wear | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter