Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +7 (105-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 40 | 8-16 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 38 | 9-25 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 36 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Andre Iguodala | 31 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 25 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 34 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 32 | 6-18 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 25 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Vince Carter | 23 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 23 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
* = starter