Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +14 (109-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorgui Dieng * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 35 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 27 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Mo Williams | 14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Bennett | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robbie Hummel | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Glenn Robinson III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 38 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 22 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 27 | 9-15 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Andre Miller | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| DeJuan Blair | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter