Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +22 (113-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 17 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 29 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Caron Butler | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Greg Monroe | 19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 12 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan * | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 31 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 23 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 18 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 27 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Farmar | 23 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Chris Douglas-Roberts | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Glen Davis | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jared Cunningham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter