Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -2 (94-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 38 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 7 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jabari Parker * | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 31 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 28 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 26 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Green * | 39 | 3-18 | 2-15 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 36 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 35 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Alex Len * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 26 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter