Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -18 (87-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 31 | 6-20 | 1-11 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | -3 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 29 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 31 | 12-17 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Evan Turner | 27 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Phil Pressey | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Carter-Williams * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Nerlens Noel * | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 29 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Hollis Thompson * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| KJ McDaniels | 20 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Henry Sims | 16 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 11 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 10 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Furkan Aldemir | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| JaKarr Sampson | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter