Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +19 (110-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 30 | 8-26 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 23 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Boozer | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Nick Young | 22 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 16 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson | 12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Stuckey * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Solomon Hill * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| David West * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| CJ Miles | 26 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 3 | - |
| Donald Sloan | 25 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Luis Scola | 18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Damjan Rudez | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shayne Whittington | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter