Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +9 (97-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 34 | 11-20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 24 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Cody Zeller * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marvin Williams | 29 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Gary Neal | 28 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 40 | 11-19 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 38 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 35 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tristan Thompson | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dion Waiters | 23 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joe Harris | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter