Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -6 (94-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 35 | 7-20 | 2-7 | 10-13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Boozer | 26 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Nick Young | 23 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 38 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 27 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Bennett | 18 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chase Budinger | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Robbie Hummel | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter