Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -6 (122-128). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 48 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 41 | 10-22 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 39 | 11-21 | 6-10 | 6-6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 22 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Andre Iguodala | 37 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Justin Holiday | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 45 | 12-24 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 44 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 40 | 13-25 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 21 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 29 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Withey | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| John Salmons | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter