Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +1 (100-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 34 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 32 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 18 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 17 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Mike Scott | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Elton Brand | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Channing Frye * | 39 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 6-10 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 38 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Victor Oladipo * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 13 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter