Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.7% | 24.3% | -6.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -25 (68-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| D. Bonner | 32 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Bass | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 24 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| E. Phillips | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| B. Griner | 19 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| S. Murphy | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Bias | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Parker | 33 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Toliver | 30 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Beard | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Herrington | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Gruda | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Harding | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Lavender | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| F. Abdi | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Greene | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter