Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.4% | 88.6% | +11.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Parker | 40 | 10-19 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 13 | - |
| K. Toliver | 34 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Lavender | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Beard | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Gruda | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Herrington | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Harding | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 39 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 10-15 | 6-9 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 19 | - |
| C. Dupree | 34 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| B. Griner | 34 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| M. Bass | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Phillips | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Murphy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter