Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.6 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +4 (88-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Adams * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 28 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 37 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 32 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tan White | 12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Monica Wright | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter