Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.2% | 19.8% | -7.7 | ✗ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Dupree | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| B. Griner | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| S. Murphy | 22 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Phillips | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Thomas | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Lucas | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| T. Bias | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Butler | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| A. Sykes | 13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 27 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Bonds | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| H. Palmer | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| V. Macaulay | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Kizer | 20 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Carter | 18 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| N. Howard | 18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Coleman | 16 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Hassell | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Z. Morrison | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter