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2014-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 16.7% 83.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +1.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% -
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +6 (60-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harrison * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 3 7 11 -
A. Harrison * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 3 1 4 8 18 -
J. Young * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 3 20 24 -
J. Randle * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 1 2 10 19 -
D. Johnson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 0 5 14 -
A. Poythress 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 8 -
D. Hawkins 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Lee 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Napier * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 3 0 4 22 30 -
N. Giffey * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 10 16 -
R. Boatright * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 3 0 3 14 21 -
D. Daniels * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 8 16 -
P. Nolan * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
L. Kromah 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 4 12 -
A. Brimah 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 5 -
T. Samuel 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter