Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -6 (54-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Boatright * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Shabazz Napier * | 37 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 9-9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| DeAndre Daniels * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Niels Giffey * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Phillip Nolan * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Amida Brimah | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lasan Kromah | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Terrence Samuel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Olander | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Chapman | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 37 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 37 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 35 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Travis Trice | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Matt Costello | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter