Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +10 (62-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wehrli | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Vonderhaar | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Sibert * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Oliver * | 29 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Pierre * | 28 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| K. Price * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Smith | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| V. Sanford | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Pollard | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Robinson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Scott | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Davis | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilbekin * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 8-10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| M. Frazier II * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| P. Young * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| W. Yeguete * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Prather * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Finney-Smith | 26 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| K. Hill | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Walker | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Kurtz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter