Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +23 (98-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Rivera * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Sama Taku * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Andrew Bock * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tony Gill * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Khalil Kelley * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Short | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T.J. Wallace | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| David Taylor | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Tim Thomas | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Gabriel Aguirre | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Payne * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 32 | - |
| Jeffery Moss * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jonathan Fairell * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Dexter Fields * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jarvis Williams * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Tyler Rambo | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Terron Gilmore | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Zay Henderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Martin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter