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2014-05-11

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 46.1% 53.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Margin 22.8% 77.2% +6.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Milton-Jones * 25 3-7 0-0 5-5 6 5 2 2 1 11 18 -
A. Cruz * 23 1-9 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 2 -5 -
E. Carson * 20 1-5 0-0 0-2 3 2 1 1 0 2 4 -
T. Young * 20 4-11 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 8 0 -
K. Braxton * 15 1-1 0-0 2-6 5 0 0 0 2 4 6 -
S. McKinney 21 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 3 0 6 9 -
C. Jeffery 17 5-8 1-2 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
N. Anosike 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 0 3 -
S. Rodgers 15 2-4 1-3 1-1 2 2 2 0 5 6 3 -
A. Montgomery 13 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 4 -3 -
T. Marshall 10 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Simmons 6 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. de Souza * 29 5-18 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 1 0 10 5 -
Tiffany Hayes * 26 4-12 2-6 4-4 4 3 1 0 1 14 9 -
Jasmine Thomas * 25 1-7 0-0 1-2 2 2 2 0 1 3 1 -
M. Ajavon * 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 4 2 -
A. Thompson * 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 2 3 -
S. Schimmel 24 2-7 2-5 2-2 1 4 0 0 2 8 4 -
S. Cash 20 2-6 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 1 3 7 3 -
I. Orekhova 13 1-4 1-3 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
S. Prahalis 13 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 3 0 1 6 8 -
C. Harberts 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Player 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Henry-Morello 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
N. Colhado 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter