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2014-05-08

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 50.6% 49.4% -0.1 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -

Actual: New York Liberty -16 (44-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Ogwumike 22 8-12 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 3 16 11 -
K. Douglas 21 1-9 1-5 1-3 5 2 2 0 1 4 3 -
K. Griffin 19 1-4 0-0 2-7 4 0 6 1 1 4 10 -
A. Hightower 19 5-11 0-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 10 5 -
K. Cain 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 4 0 2 9 -
R. Montgomery 17 1-6 0-4 3-4 1 0 2 0 1 5 1 -
A. Thomas 17 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 5 5 2 -
A. Bentley 16 1-7 0-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 -
K. Pedersen 15 1-3 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 1 2 2 3 -
K. Greene 14 0-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. McCray 13 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
K. Faris 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. McKinney 24 0-4 0-0 3-6 4 0 0 3 1 3 5 -
E. Carson 24 4-11 1-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 3 11 -2 -
A. Montgomery 23 0-1 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 1 2 2 9 -
A. Cruz 23 1-5 0-0 3-3 1 1 3 0 4 5 1 -
T. Young 21 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
D. Milton-Jones 19 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 3 6 6 -
T. Marshall 18 1-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 3 -2 -
K. Braxton 15 0-4 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 1 3 2 3 -
S. Rodgers 13 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 6 4 -
C. Jeffery 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Simmons 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter