Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +21 (75-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Anosike * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| E. Carson * | 18 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -4 | - |
| K. Williams * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Marshall * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| T. Young | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. McKinney | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Simmons | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Jeffery | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Cruz | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas * | 22 | 8-11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| A. Hightower * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Griffin * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Bentley * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 19 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| A. Thomas | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Stallworth | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Faris | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Cain | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Greene | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. McCray | 8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter