Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -0.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints -14 (75-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Cezar Guerrero * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Marvelle Harris * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Alex Davis * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Paul Watson * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Allen Huddleston | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Karachi Edo | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tanner Giddings | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Emmanuel Owootoah | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Blake Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Broderick Newbill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Wright * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Brett Bisping * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Lavon Long * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Rob Poole * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Imoh Silas * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Oliver | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Evan Hymes | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Javion Ogunyemi | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Maurice White | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Michael Wolfe | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike Wilson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steven Cruz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter