Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +6 (70-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis * | 39 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| X. Thames * | 35 | 9-22 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 4 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| D. Polee II | 27 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Quinn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Johnson * | 39 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| A. Gordon * | 39 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| T.J. McConnell * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| G. York * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Tarczewski * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Hollis Jefferson | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Mayes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Pitts | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter