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2014-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 60.6% 39.4% -2.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% -
Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% -
Log Adjusted 17.9% 82.1% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harrison * 38 3-13 3-7 6-6 3 0 3 0 1 15 7 -
A. Harrison * 38 4-11 1-4 5-6 5 7 0 0 2 14 13 -
J. Randle * 35 5-11 0-1 5-6 12 1 1 0 4 15 14 -
D. Johnson * 31 7-10 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 15 10 -
J. Young * 22 3-8 0-2 3-4 1 0 0 1 2 9 1 -
D. Hawkins 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Poythress 14 2-2 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 1 1 6 9 -
W. Cauley-Stein 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Polson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Lee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Smith * 34 9-20 1-7 4-10 2 3 1 0 2 23 7 -
M. Harrell * 33 7-9 0-0 1-3 8 2 0 0 3 15 13 -
C. Jones * 28 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
L. Hancock * 25 6-9 3-5 4-4 0 2 1 0 3 19 10 -
S. Van Treese * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 0 6 -
W. Blackshear 17 1-4 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 3 2 -
M. Mathiang 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 2 2 0 3 9 -
T. Rozier 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Agau 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Gill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter