Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harrison * | 38 | 3-13 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Randle * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| J. Young * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Hawkins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Poythress | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| W. Cauley-Stein | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Polson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith * | 34 | 9-20 | 1-7 | 4-10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 7 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| C. Jones * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Hancock * | 25 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| S. Van Treese * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| W. Blackshear | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| T. Rozier | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Agau | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Gill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter