Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -1.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal -10 (72-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sibert * | 33 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| D. Oliver * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| K. Price * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Pierre * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Smith | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| V. Sanford | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| K. Pollard | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Robinson | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Davis | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Scott | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Gavrilovic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Randle * | 39 | 5-21 | 3-11 | 8-11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 3 | - |
| J. Huestis * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. Brown * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Powell * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| S. Nastic * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Gage | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Lemons | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Allen | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Verhoeven | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Allen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Morgan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Rimmer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter