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2014-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 88.0% 12.0% -
Bradley-Terry 73.9% 26.1% -
Margin 71.3% 28.7% -5.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% -

Actual: Wichita State Shockers -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harrison * 39 6-13 4-7 3-4 1 1 2 0 3 19 7 -
J. Young * 37 5-9 3-5 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 13 11 -
A. Harrison * 34 6-9 1-3 7-9 1 3 0 0 6 20 9 -
J. Randle * 30 4-9 0-1 5-6 10 6 1 1 1 13 21 -
D. Johnson * 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
W. Cauley-Stein 23 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 2 1 0 4 6 -
A. Poythress 15 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
J. Polson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Early * 39 12-17 4-6 3-3 7 0 1 1 0 31 23 -
R. Baker * 36 7-12 4-6 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 20 13 -
F. VanVleet * 35 1-6 0-4 2-2 4 6 2 0 1 4 9 -
T. Cotton * 31 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 5 1 0 0 5 10 -
K. Coleby * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Carter 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
C. Lufile 17 3-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 4 6 1 -
N. Wiggins 15 1-2 1-2 2-4 1 1 2 0 0 5 7 -
E. Wessel 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter