Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaq Goodwin * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Geron Johnson * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Joe Jackson * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Austin Nichols * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Michael Dixon | 21 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Nick King | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| David Pellom | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Damien Wilson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kuran Iverson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Trey Draper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake McDowell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Harris * | 31 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| M. Brogdon * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Tobey * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Anderson | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Gill | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| E. Nolte | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Atkins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Jones | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Rogers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter