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2014-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% -
Bradley-Terry 59.1% 40.9% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.8% 92.2% -
Log Adjusted 7.5% 92.5% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +23 (84-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Dower * 32 3-12 0-0 1-1 8 2 0 1 4 7 2 -
G. Bell Jr. * 31 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 0 -4 -
K. Pangos * 31 4-9 4-9 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 12 2 -
P. Karnowski * 30 6-10 0-0 2-4 10 0 0 2 2 14 14 -
D. Stockton * 28 4-8 0-1 2-2 5 6 1 1 6 10 9 -
D. Barham 18 2-3 2-3 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 8 10 -
K. Dranginis 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 1 1 2 4 -
G. Coleman 6 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Nunez 6 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Edwards 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Johnson * 34 7-17 2-4 1-2 5 5 3 4 1 17 16 -
T.J. McConnell * 34 4-8 3-4 1-2 0 6 3 0 0 12 13 -
K. Tarczewski * 27 3-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 6 4 -
G. York * 25 4-10 1-5 2-3 1 2 2 0 0 11 6 -
A. Gordon * 23 8-10 1-2 1-3 6 6 4 0 3 18 21 -
R. Hollis Jefferson 27 5-7 0-0 8-8 5 5 1 4 0 18 26 -
M. Korcheck 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Mayes 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Pitts 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Peters 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Hazzard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter