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2014-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% - โœ—
Margin 37.2% 62.8% +2.9 โœ— (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 20.8% 79.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% - โœ—

Actual: Syracuse Orange -2 (53-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Oliver * 33 1-4 0-1 5-7 10 4 3 0 0 7 20 -
Dyshawn Pierre * 32 5-12 1-2 3-5 6 0 0 1 0 14 9 -
Jordan Sibert * 28 3-9 3-8 1-2 4 2 2 0 4 10 5 -
Matt Kavanaugh * 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 4 3 -
Khari Price * 22 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 6 4 -
Scoochie Smith 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 5 6 -
Vee Sanford 17 4-8 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
Jalen Robinson 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 -
Kendall Pollard 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Devon Scott 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Kyle Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Ennis * 40 7-21 0-5 5-5 4 3 1 0 2 19 4 -
C.J. Fair * 39 4-14 0-0 6-8 10 1 1 3 3 14 12 -
Rakeem Christmas * 37 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 3 2 6 11 -
Jerami Grant * 34 2-3 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 1 2 4 7 -
Trevor Cooney * 25 1-6 0-4 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 -2 -
Michael Gbinije 22 4-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
B. Keita 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter