Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange -2 (53-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Oliver * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | - |
| D. Pierre * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Sibert * | 28 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Price * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Smith | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| V. Sanford | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Robinson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Pollard | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Scott | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ennis * | 40 | 7-21 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Fair * | 39 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| R. Christmas * | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Grant * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Cooney * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Gbinije | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Keita | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter