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2014-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.9 โœ— (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 62.3% 37.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.7% 48.3% - โœ—

Actual: California Golden Bears +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rashad Madden * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 2 0 1 15 26 -
Anthlon Bell * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 3 8 -
Bobby Portis * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 0 12 23 -
Fred Gulley * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 7 -
Coty Clarke * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Michael Qualls 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 7 13 -
Alandise Harris 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 12 19 -
Moses Kingsley 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 7 12 -
Kikko Haydar 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 3 8 -
Mardracus Wade 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Kravish * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 2 3 3 13 25 -
Justin Cobbs * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 0 0 2 9 18 -
Tyrone Wallace * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 16 19 -
Jabari Bird * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 19 26 -
Rick Kreklow * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 3 5 10 -
Sam Singer 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 2 9 -
Jeff Powers 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
Jordan Mathews 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 7 5 -
Christian Behrens 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter