Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Texas Southern Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.4% | 35.6% | -3.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Southern Tigers -12 (69-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Odister * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Maliik Love | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Markel Leonard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Max Betkowski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Aaric Murray * | 32 | 14-23 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | - |
| D'Angelo Scott * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Ray Penn * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D.D. Scarver * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Madarious Gibbs | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jose Rodriguez | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Clayborn | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter