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2014-03-18

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.5% 16.5% -
Log Adjusted 83.4% 16.6% -

Actual: Xavier Musketeers -15 (59-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 33 10-18 0-2 5-8 5 2 3 0 3 25 14 -
R. Turner * 33 6-11 3-7 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 17 11 -
T. Lewis * 32 3-6 1-3 0-1 3 8 0 0 1 7 11 -
J. Vandenberg * 25 4-5 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 4 2 9 12 -
K. Washington * 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
L. Freeman 30 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 2 7 -
B. Anya 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 0 2 6 -
D. Lee 13 0-4 0-2 4-4 1 1 0 1 0 4 3 -
C. Barber 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Farr 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Christon * 39 6-11 1-2 1-2 2 4 1 0 7 14 3 -
J. Martin * 38 3-12 0-6 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 8 0 -
D. Davis * 36 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 5 5 -
I. Philmore * 35 4-6 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 11 9 -
M. Stainbrook * 27 9-15 0-0 1-4 9 0 0 0 2 19 11 -
J. Reynolds 16 0-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
M. Davis 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
E. Stenger 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Randolph 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter