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2014-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma State Cowboys Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% -
Bradley-Terry 18.2% 81.8% -
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% -
Log Adjusted 64.3% 35.7% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Forte III * 39 3-12 2-7 4-5 3 2 1 0 2 12 4 -
M. Smart * 38 5-14 1-5 12-19 13 7 6 1 6 23 30 -
M. Brown * 36 9-16 0-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 1 20 10 -
K. Murphy * 29 4-11 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 8 4 -
L. Nash * 17 2-5 0-0 2-3 1 0 1 0 1 6 2 -
L. Hammonds 14 1-3 0-2 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
B. Williams 13 2-4 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
M. Cox 10 0-0 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 0 0 1 5 -
C. Sager 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 38 6-14 2-5 12-14 3 3 3 0 3 26 18 -
S. Dower * 34 1-5 0-1 1-2 9 4 0 0 2 3 9 -
G. Bell Jr. * 29 6-8 3-4 2-4 4 1 1 0 1 17 14 -
P. Karnowski * 28 6-9 0-0 3-9 10 2 0 1 3 15 16 -
D. Stockton * 21 1-5 1-4 1-2 2 3 0 0 3 4 1 -
K. Dranginis 29 2-6 1-2 7-8 2 0 1 0 1 12 8 -
D. Barham 12 2-2 2-2 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
A. Nunez 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Coleman 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter