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2014-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 23.0% 77.0% +6.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Log Adjusted 35.5% 64.5% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -1 (59-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Pierre * 33 2-2 1-1 7-7 8 2 1 0 2 12 19 -
D. Oliver * 29 5-11 1-2 0-3 4 1 0 0 1 11 4 -
K. Price * 26 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
J. Sibert * 23 3-9 1-5 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 9 7 -
M. Kavanaugh * 21 4-6 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 0 1 9 8 -
V. Sanford 21 4-11 0-2 2-2 1 3 2 0 4 10 1 -
K. Pollard 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 6 -
S. Smith 14 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 2 0 2 1 0 -
J. Robinson 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
K. Davis 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Scott 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Craft * 38 6-9 0-1 4-5 5 4 4 0 5 16 15 -
L. Ross * 37 5-12 0-3 0-0 2 2 2 1 5 10 0 -
S. Thompson * 30 8-11 2-3 0-1 4 1 2 1 1 18 14 -
L. Smith Jr. * 28 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
A. Williams * 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 0 6 -
S. Scott 27 1-6 0-1 1-2 4 4 2 0 2 3 5 -
T. McDonald 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Loving 8 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
A. Della Valle 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter