Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -8 (75-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine * | 38 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 17 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Travis Trice | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Matt Costello | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traevon Jackson * | 36 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Josh Gasser * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ben Brust * | 31 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Sam Dekker * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 30 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Bronson Koenig | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| N. Hayes-Davis | 14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Duje Dukan | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter