Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lipton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Koehler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Salisbery | 36 | 9-17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| J. Ervin | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Schlemer | 32 | 3-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 0 | - |
| T. Garza | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| N. Ofodu | 26 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Ale | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| H. Gilbert | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Balbierz | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Guay | 39 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - |
| C. Lister | 33 | 3-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -4 | - |
| J. Sharpe | 31 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| B. Alexander | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Friess | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Mahlknecht | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Fong | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| H. White | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Cole | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Thielges | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter