Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Marks * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Mikey Thompson * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Nick Duncan | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 19 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dezmyn Trent | 9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Williams * | 40 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 3-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 15-18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Alex Kirk * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Deshawn Delaney * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Cullen Neal | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Pancake Thomas | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Merv Lindsay | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Obij Aget | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter