Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Odister * | 22 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Maliik Love | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Nelson * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Will Davis * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Chris McNealy * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Alex Young * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Mamadou Ndiaye * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Wright | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dominique Dunning | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Ryan | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Travis Souza | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mike Best | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter